These are the movies we thought had a chance.
Release date: March 22
Cast: Lupita Nyong'o, Winston Duke, Elisabeth Moss
Director: Jordan Peele
What's it about? A family encounters their murderous dopplegangers.
Why it could be in contention: It would have been thrilling to welcome 2018 winner Jordan Peele back to the Dolby stage for his Get Out follow-up. Us is just as brilliant, but in a different package, and the slasher framework in which it presents its themes might be a bit harder for Academy members to swallow. One thing everyone can agree on: Lupita Nyong'o's brilliant double turn as a mother protecting her family, and the eerie, "tethered" version of that woman was absolutely robbed.
What's the backlash? None, really.
What has it won so far? Nyong'o won Best Actress from the New York Film Critics Circle. She also got a SAG nomination.
Did it get any nominations? No.
Release date: July 12
Cast: Awkwafina, Tzi Ma, Diana Lin, Zhao Shuzhen
Director: Lulu Wang
What's it about? Based on director Wang's real life, The Farewell tells the story of a young woman thrust into a cultural quagmire when she learns her family is keeping her grandmother's cancer diagnosis a secret from the ailing woman.
Why it could be in contention: Usually a couple of films that premiere at Sundance in January make it all the way to the Oscars the following year. The Farewell -- a personal film from director Lulu Wang -- seemed like it could make that journey, especially with its breakout dramatic performance from Awkwafina. If we had any say in it, Zhao Shuzhen, as Nai Nai, would have been a lock for Supporting Actress.
What's the backlash? Everyone loves this movie.
What has it won so far? Awkwafina is the movie's biggest winner so far. She got the Golden Globe for actress in a musical or comedy and last year won the Gotham Award for Best Actress, essentially taking home the first trophy of the season. In that speech, she thanked "grandmas everywhere." The film, which is often in Mandarin, was nominated for Foreign Language Film at the Globes but lost to Parasite.
Did it get any nominations? No, even Awkwafina didn't get a slot in Best Actress.
Release date: September 13
Cast: Constance Wu, Jennifer Lopez, Lili Reinhart, Keke Palmer, Cardi B
Director: Lorene Scafaria
What's it about? The friendships between a group of strippers who scam men in the wake of the Great Recession.
Why it could be in contention: Hustlers was one of the most exciting stories of the race, winning almost universal praise after its premiere at the Toronto International Film Festival, and securing a box office win to boot. Based on Jessica Pressler's article for New York Magazine about a group of strippers that scammed Wall Street assholes during the financial crisis, director Scafaria (The Meddler) amassed a cast of all-stars, from Jennifer Lopez to Constance Wu to Cardi B, to tell a story of sisterhood in the face of economic struggle. Lopez initially emerged as the most likely Oscar nominee: She's remarkable as Ramona, the ringleader of the group, masking vulnerability behind her incredible swagger. Alas.
What's the backlash? Unless you consider the few men pissed off that the movie isn't sympathetic enough to them "backlash" -- which I do not -- none.
What has it won so far? Jennifer Lopez rightly won the LAFC for supporting actress and was nominated at the Globes and the SAGs.
Did it get any nominations? No. And Jennifer Lopez's exclusion is shameful.
Dolemite Is My Name
Release date: In theaters October 4; on Netflix October 25
Cast: Eddie Murphy, Tituss Burgess, Wesley Snipes
Director: Craig Brewer
What's it about? The life and work of Blaxploitation star Rudy Ray Moore.
Why it could be in contention: Eddie Murphy was arguably robbed of an Oscar for his work in Dreamgirls, and the interim years have been quiet for the one-time superstar. But he's back in full force playing Moore in this biopic that won crowds over at TIFF.
What's the backlash? There is none.
What has it won? It was a nominee in Musical or Comedy at the Globes, and Murphy was in the actor race there.
Did it get any nominations? No. Not even for Murphy.
A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Release date: October 18
Cast: Tom Hanks, Matthew Rhys
Director: Marielle Heller
What's it about? A journalist goes to profile Mister Rogers and has his life changed.
Why it could be in contention: Marielle Heller was rudely snubbed for Best Director this past year after directing Melissa McCarthy and Richard E. Grant to nominations for Can You Ever Forgive Me? Her next project, in a coup of casting, finds Tom Hanks playing Fred Rogers, spreading his message of kindness to a skeptical journalist (played by The Americans' Matthew Rhys). Beloved icon as beloved icon? Smells like Oscar. But it's important to note that A Beautiful Day is not the sort of showy weeper that Academy voters tend to love; it's a quieter film that's less about Mister Rogers' life than about the idea of Mister Rogers. Hanks' role is the supporting one, adding an interesting wrinkle to the Actor races.
What's the backlash? Nothing really.
What has it won so far? Hanks was nominated for Supporting Actor at the Globes and the SAGs.
Did it get any nominations? Yes. Hanks is nominated for Supporting Actor.
Release date: November 27
Cast: Daniel Craig, Ana de Armas, Chris Evans, Jamie Lee Curtis
Director: Rian Johnson
What's it about? A murder mystery set at a stony mansion where the members of a rich family are all suspects. Also, a surprisingly effective comment on the 1 percent in the Trump era. Also, Chris Evans in sweaters.
Why it could be in contention: Knives Out is one of the genuine success stories of the year: an original movie that was a big box office hit. It's even getting a sequel.
What's the backlash? Some have found the well-intentioned politics of the movie patronizing. As Monica Castillo wrote in the New York Times: "Through the character of Marta, Knives Out has a tendency to exploit its story’s immigration angle, which left me feeling uneasy as strangers at the screening I attended laughed at real-life issues I'm genuinely frightened of."
What has it won so far? Though it left the Globes empty handed, it was well represented in the musical or comedy categories by the HFPA. It also got a Producers Guild nomination, seen as a predictor for a Best Picture nom.
Did it get any nominations? Yes. Original screenplay.
The Two Popes
Release date: In theaters November 27; on Netflix December 20
Cast: Anthony Hopkins, Jonathan Pryce
Director: Fernando Meirelles
What's it about? Two popes! What else?
Why it could be in contention: A sleeper hit out of Telluride and TIFF, The Two Popes stars Hopkins and Pryce as the titular men of the cloth, Popes Benedict XVI and Francis, respectively. Its best shot seems to be in the acting races, given that plot mostly consists of a two-handed conversation about faith and guilt.
What's the backlash? Nothing yet.
What has it won so far? The Globes, as expected, fell in love with these popes. Both actors got nods, and the film was up for Best Picture.
Did it get any nominations? Yes. A bunch. Pryce and Hopkins are both nominated, and Anthony McCarten was nominated for Adapted Screenplay.
Release date: December 13
Cast: Adam Sandler, Idina Menzel, Lakeith Stanfield, Pom Klementieff
Director: Josh and Benny Safdie
What's it about? The misadventures of a Diamond District dealer addicted to sports gambling played by Adam Sandler.
Why it could be in contention: Adam Sandler, Serious Actor, has long been a tempting proposition when it comes to awards, but he's never managed to get an Oscar nomination despite worthy work in Punch-Drunk Love and The Meyerowitz Stories. The latest from the Safdie brothers, who directed Robert Pattinson in 2017's dirtbag crime thriller Good Time, couldn't break that trend, even with Sandler's giving it his all in this fable of a Diamond District dealer, a seemingly magical stone, and Kevin Garnett.
What's the backlash? This movie certainly wasn't for everyone.
What has it won so far? Sandler was named Best Actor by the National Board of Review, while the Safdies and their collaborator Ronald Bronstein picked up Original Screenplay. The NYFCC gave the Safdies their director prize.
Did it get any nominations? No.
Release date: December 13
Cast: Charlize Theron, Nicole Kidman, Margot Robbie, John Lithgow
Director: Jay Roach
What's it about? The women at Fox News who helped take down Roger Ailes.
Why it could be in contention: Jay Roach's latest is a ridiculously starry retelling of the ouster of Roger Ailes at Fox, featuring Charlize Theron's dead ringer turn as TV host Megyn Kelly.
What's the backlash? Bombshell raised a lot of questions: Was it too glib about Fox News as an institution? Was it saying anything new about sexual harassment in the workplace? Did it paint Megyn Kelly as too heroic, given her history of racist comments?
What has it won so far? Robbie and Theron both got Globes nominations. The aforementioned actresses got individual SAG nominations along with Nicole Kidman, who plays Gretchen Carlson. The film was also nominated for ensemble.
Did it get any nominations? Yes. Theron and Robbie were nominated for acting, and its makeup and hairstyling was also recognized. I mean, have you seen the prosthetics they put on Theron?