Travel

Airfares to These 20 Cities Are About to Drop. Hard.

Published On 10/10/2016 Published On 10/10/2016
Horseshoe Bay, Bermuda
Horseshoe Bay, Bermuda | Andrew F. Kazmierski/Shutterstock

You'd probably have better luck trying to accurately predict simulcast harness racing than you would airfares. Sometimes flights are cheaper when you ditch half your ticket. Sometimes a fare you paid $400 for on Sunday drops to $200 on Wednesday and then pops to $600 on Friday. Presumably, this is all figured out by a room full of monkeys throwing darts at the wall somewhere outside San Antonio.
 
But kinda like that guy with the tip sheet standing outside the OTB, an app called Hopper claims to have the fare game figured out. It analyzes literally billions of airfares around the world every month, amalgamates the data, and uses historical trends to predict which airfares will drop the most every month. But unlike Tip Sheet Guy, its predictions are actually right: Hopper nails these fare drops with 95% accuracy.
 
So what's on tap for October? Well, if you're planning a Florida vacation this year, this is your month to book, as six of the top-10 biggest decreases will be in the Sunshine State. If you're looking to go further south, the news is better: eight of the top-10 international destinations are in Central/South America, Mexico, and the Caribbean. The full breakdown, with how big the discount is likely to be in each destination:

Domestic

Fort Myers, Florida (30%)
Orlando, Florida (26%)                                       
West Palm Beach, Florida (25%)                            
Las Vegas, Nevada (23%)                                           
Fort Lauderdale, Florida (22%)                                   
Trenton, Pennsylvania (21%)                                      
Sarasota, Florida (21%)                                               
Miami, Florida (21%)                                                     
Chicago, Illinois (20%)                                                        
Dallas, Texas (20%)                                                        

International

Sao Paolo, Brazil (38%)                                             
Liberia, Costa Rica (37%)                                         
Port of Spain, Trinidad and Tobago (36%)          
Cancun, Mexico (36%)                                              
Auckland, New Zealand (35%)                                
Puerto Vallarta, Mexico (32%)                               
Punta Cana, Dominican Republic (31%)              
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil (28%)                                   
Hamilton, Bermuda (28%)                                     
London, England (28%)                                           
 
So how do you know when in October to buy? Shockingly, this is pretty simple. Say you're sick of betting on the simulcast harness racing, and would rather watch it personally in Fort Lauderdale. Go to the Hopper app and put in your preferred dates of travel, your home airport, and FLL as your destination. Then, just like Tinder alerts you when you've been super-liked, Hopper will let you know when the fares are dropping.
 
Like any prediction that doesn't come from Johnny Carson in a funny hat, there's obviously no guarantee. But it's a hell of a lot better than spending every day at the mercy of the fare monkeys.
 
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Matt Meltzer is a staff writer with Thrillist who's bringing back harness racing, one intro at a time. You can find him on the rail at Pompano Park, or on Instagram @meltrez1.

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